Like many Americans I tuned in Tuesday night to watch the Banks choose their next anointed one. It seems they were pleased with the last four years of unbridled corporate profit and bank swindling, so why change pace?
In all seriousness I was quite happy to see Mr. Romney lose. It has nothing to do with the fact I enjoy the bourgeois politics of Mr. Obama (recall my article entitled ‘Don’t Vote’). Rather, I view Obama as a predictable opponent with a readable strategy, thus making it easier for us crazy commies to plan how we go about mobilizing the masses. Also, Romney is about as likeable as a slab of dog shit on your carpet. Therefore, I was pleased with the outcome of the election, from a purely political position.
Its important to realize that the projections and analysis I am about to make shed nothing that could be considered positive in a revolutionary sense in the upcoming years. As I stated previously, Obama is not a socialist, he is not a Marxist, and he is a poor example of a liberal. He has no secret communist plot, although if he does, I will gladly take back everything I said about him. Until then, its important to recognize I analyze the American political situation with a heavy dose of political cynicism. I want to try to shed some light on what we might see from Mr. Obama in the next few years but never once should it seem that I am remotely supportive of this bourgeois corporate apologist.
Onto the predictions:
First I will make the prediction that Obama will remain center, center-right until the midterms. Despite all this talk about him going ‘balls-to-the-walls’ with liberal policies like a horse run rampant out of the stable, there is no evidence to indicate this. Every politician runs to the center during an election (or they should if they want to be electable) but Obama was cemented in the center the moment he took office. Nothing he did in the early part of his first time, when he had full control of congress, indicated that he had a leftist agenda. Now he has no control of the House. The Senate, although it picked up some seats, was mostly due to the complete lunacy that is the GOP and reflects little about the leadership of Mr. Obama. If anything we will see Mr. Obama play a cheap version of Bill Clinton and try to appease his base by perhaps tackling DOMA or double down on energy initiatives. He doesn’t have the political capital to pass any significant immigration reform, or another ‘jobs bill’, in fact, he will probably not even be able to let the Bush Tax Cuts expire on the wealthiest Americans like his base so desperately wants to happen. I posit that he will likely remain static the first two years.
Then comes the midterms. I think at this rate the Republicans will lose some power in the House, but they will not lose their majority. The GOP is in disarray, a dying party clinging to existence, but the Tea Party fanatics that comprise much of their fresh Representatives will find a way to hold onto power through the midterms. This is unless there is some significant campaigning and maneuvering by the new Senate or President Obama, which I find unlikely. The problem is I doubt seeing a ‘Blue tide’ in 2014 like we saw the ‘Red tide’ of 2010.
So if there is no Democrat control of Congress coming out of the 2014 midterms I think we will see Obama make some last ditch efforts to secure some independent support for the Democratic candidate in 2016. This might mean taking on some of the initiatives I mentioned earlier or something more dynamic like campaign finance which remains a big issue among the Democratic.
If somehow the Democrats do take control of the House in 2014, my crystal ball is hazy. I want to say that Mr. Obama will remain a static, moderate politician like he has been, but there is always the off-ball chance more liberally endowed Representatives/Senators will pull the administration left in hopes of rallying the base in 2016. It is really hard to tell and I truly find this scenario unlikely as the margin the Democrats would need to win in 2014 would be huge. Not insurmountable, but unlikely enough to consider it the Scenario B in the political sphere.
In conclusion, what can we expect from Mr. Obama in his next four years?
Not a whole lot. This can be good, or bad. An obvious bad is that because he is a bourgeois bank puppet there will be little chance of any actual meaningful reforms. In addition, his support for Israel and his underhanded bourgeois stabs at labor remain dubious at best and infuriating at worst. An obvious good is that he is predictable. We know how this snake slithers and with this knowledge we know, as revolutionaries, tactics that can be effective and strategies that can be utilized. Most important to me is his hands off policy with Venezuela and much of Latin America. Despite his pledged support to the fascist government of Colombia, he is not as overtly imperialist as Mr. Romney. This means that those revolutionary movements in South America will have breathing room. In addition, I hope that his pandering towards the center will alienate the liberals further to the left in search of meaningful alternatives to electoral politics. When his base becomes alienated we revolutionaries can smile and welcome them into the truly revolutionary ranks and begin to exact real social and economic change from the ground up.
Welcome to Obama 2.0